THE NEAR-COLLAPSE AND PENDING RECOVERY OF REGULATORY
- Geoff Bertram Formerly at the Institute for Governance and Policy Studies, Victoria University of Wellington Presented to workshop on "Regulatory Governance: Models And Dynamics", Florence, 26-29/6/22 Effective regulation of conduct in a market economy does not easily reduce to any single critical requirement. Rather, it flows from a constellation of mutually-supporting elements: appropriate legislation, clear codified criteria to measure compliance; smoothly-operating regulatory institutions with clear legitimacy, expert staff, and an enforcement mandate; and over all a political culture of recognition and respect for regulators. The breakdown of a pre-existing regulatory constellation lets loose familiar pathologies: abuse of monopoly power to price-gouge consumers and eliminate competitors; unbridled pursuit of self-interest degrading the quality of services and products; reduced health, safety and wages in workplaces; and unchecked environmental degradation. The neoliberal revolution of the 1980s and 90s had a particularly strong deregulatory impact in New Zealand, sweeping away established regulatory institutions and practices while converting national policy to a culture of non-regulation - what Feffer (2007) has called "the self-hating State". Reconstruction of regulatory institutions and culture has been piecemeal, and has faced entrenched opposition from powerful vested interests consolidated during the unregulated decades. The paper reviews the impact on New Zealand's regulatory institutions, and on their legislative foundations, of ideas from public-choice economics and the Chicago School of law and economics. Some case studies highlight key issues that have emerged, and an agenda is outlined for the revival of effective regulation tailored to New Zealand conditions. Introduction: The New Zealand Turn To Neoliberalism Between 1984 and 1995 New Zealand underwent a profound transformation of the character and structure of its government (Boston et al 1991; Easton 1997a, 1997b; Kelsey 1995) - a transformation that went significantly further than the better-known neoliberal programmes of Reagan in the USA and Thatcher in the UK on which the New Zealand experiment was based. As Smith and Montgomery (2004) noted: "Where New Zealand stands out is in the speed, extent and apparent depth of the changes imposed. This was facilitated by the country's small population and the absence of a second (Parliamentary) chamber which might have put the brakes on the iconoclastic behaviour of a small, powerful group of elected politicians". Lewis (2004 p.161) added: "In many ways, the New Zealand experience is a paradigm case of neo-liberal political reform... It is regarded as remarkable for the purity of its new State managerial design, the speed of its implementation, and the ideological certainty with which it was pursued". In a number of papers over the past two decades (including Bertram 1999, 2004a, 2004b, 2006, 2010, 2014, 2020, 2021, 2022; Bertram and Chapple 2021; Bertram and Twaddle 2005) I have argued that the successful neoliberal crusade to free up markets and shrink the State, and the consequent near-elimination of regulatory will and capability in New Zealand State agencies, has had negative consequences for the economy and for ordinary people even as it carried New Zealand to the top of business-oriented measures such as "ease of doing business" (World Bank 2020 p.4)(1). In this paper I pull together some themes and issues from those previous papers. Over the century to 1984, New Zealand constructed and consolidated a mixed economy in which the public sector built and operated core infrastructure and services based on it - roads, rail, ports, airports, telecommunications, electricity generation and distribution, gas and coal supply, health and education. Besides delivering these essential services to the population at officially-set prices, the State regulated, for example, bank lending, wages, prices (when necessary), town planning and building standards. New Zealand was a politically stable democracy with a prosperous, relatively egalitarian economy, a highly educated and healthy population, and a deep-rooted regulatory culture operating through well-established institutions. Insofar as there was an underlying "theory of government" it was that of pursuit of the common good by collective endeavour. If the public good was not being effectively advanced by the Government of the day, the democratic remedy was to change the Government, but without casting doubt on the fundamental legitimacy of the State itself, nor on the necessity of its regulatory functions. A Direct Attack On The State Neoliberalism posed a challenge of a different order: a direct attack on the legitimacy of the modern State itself and a programme of stripping back its role and powers. The intellectual firepower behind this vision came from Hayek, Buchanan and Tullock, Stigler and Friedman and Bork, none of them familiar to the wider New Zealand public in the early 1980s. But a tight-knit group of young New Zealand officials, who had studied in the US and been exposed to libertarian thinking, brought those ideas directly to the top echelons of Government and successfully captured a small cadre of elected politicians and key leaders in the rising financially-oriented business sector (Bertram 1993 pp.37-47; 2004a). Ideas about the magical properties of competition in markets were transplanted to a small economy where the space for competition was narrowly constrained and opportunities for the exercise of market power abounded. Under attack from within, the State regulatory apparatus was dismantled, while publicly-owned utility operations in ports, airports, electricity, telecommunications, and gas pipelines were privatised or converted to profit-seeking corporations. Common-law restraints on monopoly were suppressed, restraints on the financial sector were removed, organised labour broken, and the entire State sector subjected to wrenching changes to make it conform to the model of "New Public Management" (Boston et al 1991; Gregory 2003). The outcome of this "internal coup d'état within the State structure" (Bertram 1993 p.48) was a Government apparatus designed and run by people who were deeply sceptical of the entire enterprise of Government - what Feffer (2007) has termed the "self-hating State". Officials and ministers proclaimed their own institution's ineffectiveness and proneness to rent-seeking and capture, then used this as their excuse to abdicate from serious engagement with the core regulatory functions of Government in a mixed capitalist economy. In place of an overarching concept of the public good, the new order enshrined the market as the ultimate arbiter of what was best. Indeed, the whole idea of a common good was submerged beneath the vision of individual maximisation under competition, echoing Margaret Thatcher's famous claim that "there is no such thing as society". From relatively inclusive politics and strong regulatory enforcement, New Zealand shifted towards more extractive institutions and weaker regulation (Bertram 2021). Three decades after the upheaval of the 1980s, the legislative pillars of neoliberalism in New Zealand - in particular the Commerce Act 1986, the State-Owned Enterprises Act 1986, the State Sector Act 1988, the Public Finance Act 1989, and the Fiscal Responsibility Act 1994 - remain on the statute books and combine to trap New Zealand governments of any party into an "iron cage" of restraints on State activism. Neo-liberal doctrines and attitudes remain embedded not only in the legislation but in the mindset of the State executive and the regulatory agencies. This is not unique to New Zealand, of course. In the aftermath of the collapse of the Texas electricity grid in 2021, a critic commented that(2) "We shouldn't put people in charge of Government who don't believe in Government. They fail us every time". New Zealand consistently ranks in the upper half of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in that organisation's formal indicators of regulatory design, governance and performance (Arndt et al 2015; Gönenç et al 2001; OECD 2015). In addition, it consistently scores highly in the OECD's "confidence in national government" rankings(3) as well as the World Bank's "ease of doing business" rankings(4) already mentioned. Both of these agencies were at the forefront of the neoliberal policy agenda (aka the Washington Consensus) and their regulatory prescriptions matched much of the narrative put forward by the New Zealand reformers. There is nevertheless some disconnect between the OECD's formal evaluations of New Zealand regulatory governance and the picture of New Zealand's regulatory culture and governance in this paper. New Zealand has gone further in a deregulatory direction than the OECD programme would have prescribed, and in a couple of respects has taken a completely different direction. New Zealand And The OECD Regulatory Model The OECD's regulatory reform agenda was summarised as follows in Gönenç et al (2001 p.12): "Regulatory reforms have had three main dimensions: liberalisation, State retrenchment and new regulatory design. Liberalisation and State retrenchment were mainly concerned with:
"New regulatory design was an essential element of regulatory reform to the extent that:
In addition, in the area of "new regulatory design" four basic principles were stated (Gönenç et al 2001 p.15): "Regulatory institutions should be designed to i) ensure independence of the regulator from the executive branch of the Government; ii) impose constraints on the regulator's discretion (for example by allowing appeal procedures with general competition authorities); iii) enhance transparency of the regulatory process so as to limit information asymmetries and reduce regulatory discretion; and iv) ensure consistency of regulatory approaches across industries". Public Interest Objectives Dropped The New Zealand government enthusiastically went about corporatising and, where possible, privatising its activities in electricity, gas, coal, telecommunications, railways, banking, insurance, public works, and forestry (Jesson 1999 pp.161-181; Kelsey 1995). But the New Zealand government was far from finding ways to "achieve (public interest objectives) in a competitive environment" through action to mitigate the devastating impact of corporatisation and privatisation on the welfare of low-income households. Instead, it moved in 1991 to sharply reduce the scope of welfare transfers and to destroy the union movement, opening the way for a driving-down of wages and conditions in a deregulated labour market within which employers retained unabated their oligopsonistic* position (Bertram and Rosenberg 2022). As Taggart described it at the time (1990 pp.1-2): "The formal separation of commercial and social objectives... has resulted, in practice, in the negation of social objectives". *A market situation in which the demand for a commodity is represented by a small number of purchasers. Ed Nor, Taggart went on to argue (1990 pp.7-8), was this an accidental oversight. On the contrary, it was a logical consequence of official adherence to the doctrines of "public choice theory" which denied the existence of any such thing as "the general welfare" or "the public good". The New Zealand Treasury, the lead Government agency pushing the neoliberal agenda, strongly argued that public-good proponents were merely self-interested rent-seekers and that their concerns should therefore be set aside (NZ Treasury 1987; Bertram 2021). Corporatisation removed from the scene a powerful group of de facto regulators - the managers of the old State-run service providers. They were replaced by (or converted into) commercial managers with a single-minded profit goal, as required by section 4 of the State-Owned Enterprises Act 1986(5) which blocks these companies from "exhibit[ing] a sense of social responsibility" unless doing so contributes to profitability. Within a year of passage of the Act, the closure of 432 "uneconomic" Post Offices, withdrawing valued services from local communities, survived a High Court challenge(6), with the Court affirming the absolute primacy of the profit goal (see Taggart 1990, pp.9-10). Three and a half decades later the Act remains unchanged. Competition Overestimated The OECD regulatory model drew a distinction between infrastructure/network activities (electricity and telecommunication lines, gas and water pipelines, rail networks, ports and airports, and so on) that were acknowledged to be natural monopolies, and all other activities that were treated as potentially competitive. The basis for drawing the distinction in this way was to lay the groundwork for treating all of the market economy apart from infrastructure monopolies as requiring no (or minimal) regulation, beyond measures to protect the process of competition itself(7). This idea that monopoly pricing was of concern only in infrastructure facilities, with their large sunk costs and economies of scale, translated in New Zealand to wildly overoptimistic expectations for the effectiveness of competitive forces in all other sectors. New Zealand is a small economy in which the textbook conditions for natural monopoly - not to mention opportunities for exclusionary conduct - are by no means limited to infrastructure utilities. But blanket application of the OECD classification meant that no need for traditional regulation was acknowledged in other sectors, where market power has been left to run rampant without regulatory restraint. This almost exclusive reliance on competition to curb the exercise of market power has left the way open for profiteering, especially by vertically-integrated companies. In a small market such as New Zealand, vertical integration is a powerful source of competitive advantage for large firms, and in the largely unregulated environment since the 1980s it has been taken full advantage of in a number of sectors. Notable examples are electricity generation and retailing, oil products wholesale and retail supply, building supplies, and supermarkets (which have used their control of upstream wholesale supply both to exclude new retail entry and to squeeze upstream suppliers - see Commerce Commission 2022). In all of those sectors, vertical integration has gone beyond simple double-marginalisation to involve strategic dominance at the wholesale level of supply chains, with clear exclusionary consequences. Cartel-like arrangements at wholesale level have sustained strong vested interests which have been able, through their lobbying power, successfully to forestall any attempt at unbundling of their upstream operations. A law change in 2018 opened the way for the Commerce Commission to conduct "competition studies" when directed to do so by the Minister, and two such studies have been completed, into petroleum fuels and supermarkets (Commerce Commission 2019a, 2022). The first found that:(8) "An active wholesale market for fuel does not exist in New Zealand. The major fuel companies, Z Energy, BP and Mobil, share a joint infrastructure network which includes the Marsden Point refinery, coastal shipping operations and storage terminals at regional ports. They use this network to supply 90% of the nation's fuel through their own branded retail sites or via other distributors or resellers via exclusive long-term wholesale supply contracts". "The only other fuel importer is Gull, with a terminal in Mt Maunganui... The combination of infrastructure sharing and restrictive supply relationships gives the major fuel companies an advantage. There is a reduced ability for importers to compete for customers of the majors and for distributors and dealers to obtain competitive wholesale supply terms". The only remedies suggested were a mandatory posted-price regime for wholesale supply, and improved price information for retail customers. The Government response was the Fuel Industry Act 2020(9) which required retail prices to be displayed on roadside billboards and required all wholesalers to post spot prices at which supply would be available to independents. No enforceable industry code was legislated for, only a limited regulatory backstop was allowed for (section 20 of the Act), no unbundling was contemplated, and excess profits were not addressed. The major companies proceeded to close the single refinery in 2022, leaving New Zealand entirely dependent on petroleum products which (apart from Gull) must be imported through specialised port facilities owned by the majors on which no open-access requirements have been imposed. Market Study: Supermarkets The second market study, of supermarkets, found that (Commerce Commission 2022):(10) "The major grocery retailers, Woolworths NZ and Foodstuffs, operate as a duopoly with a fringe of other competing grocery retailers... Under current market conditions, we see little prospect of new or expanding rivals being able to achieve the scale and geographic coverage required to compete effectively with the major grocery retailers. Competitors wanting to enter the market or expand face significant challenges, including a lack of suitable sites for store development(11) and difficulties in sourcing wholesale supply of a comprehensive range of competitively priced grocery products". The supermarkets were found to be securing a rate of return at least double their cost of capital. Translated into dollar terms, this implied excess profits amounting to $430 million per year(12) (Commerce Commission 2022 p.55). The Government response has been to threaten possible regulation in the hope of persuading the incumbent duopoly to lower its prices. One step in this direction was to ban the practice of placing restrictive covenants on sites for possible new entrant supermarket operations; a new law to this effect passed through Parliament in June 2022(13). The Commission had identified 190 of these covenants across the country (2022 p.210). Both the oil companies and the supermarket giants lobby strongly and publicly against any restriction on their conduct or prices, resulting in an ongoing "chicken game" with a Government that feels able to act only because of strong public pressure channelled through the media and opinion polls. Government loudly wishes for entry by some deep-pocketed "competitor for the market" - but in the small New Zealand market, any such successful entrant would struggle to make a profit unless it joins the incumbent cartels. Politicisation Of Price Regulation In relation to restraint on monopoly profiteering the New Zealand model has had a crucial divergence from the OECD one. This is the politicisation of the actual decision to regulate, which was transferred in 1986 from the judicial to the executive branch of Government. Part IV of the Commerce Act 1986 reserved any decision even to consider price regulation, let alone actually regulate a monopolist's pricing, to the Minister, not the ostensible regulator. Only after a political decision is taken to declare a sector a "regulated good or service" can the Commerce Commission regulate an industry's prices, and in doing so it is tightly constrained by prescriptive methodological procedures dictated from above(14). To date, price regulation has been applied to just three infrastructure sectors - electricity lines, gas pipelines, telecommunication networks - with a fourth, airports, subject only to "light handed" regulated information disclosure. Prior to 1986, Section 54 of the old Commerce Act 1975 commenced with the provision: "(1) Every person commits an offence against this Act who whether as principal or agent, and whether by himself or his agent, sells or agrees or offers to sell any goods or services at a price which is unreasonably high". The section then went on to lay out in detail the procedures to be followed by a court in assessing when a price was unreasonably high. Section 25 of the 1975 Act gave the Commerce Commission the power to hold an inquiry into pricing in any industry and, if appropriate, to recommend that an offending industry be placed on the "Positive List" for price regulation (though the final decision of whether to act on the recommendation always lay with the Minister). The 1986 legislation removed this power from the Commission and vested it instead in the Minister. The common-law role of the courts to sanction monopolistic pricing was also extinguished in 1986 (or rather, suppressed until Parliament might change its mind) (Taggart 2008; Court of Appeal of New Zealand 1999, paragraphs 52-54, 59). From time to time regulatory agencies have recommended or taken action, only for the relevant Minister (subject to the usual range of political and lobbying pressures from big business interests) to refuse to act, or even dismiss the regulator. Two examples follow.
Tolerance Of Monopoly Profits That "public benefit test", introduced under Treasury auspices in 1992 without legislative or publicly-announced justification, sets New Zealand apart from most other jurisdictions where a consumer surplus standard applies. New Zealand has adopted the so-called "total surplus standard" which says that any transfer of wealth from customers to a monopolist supplier of a good or service due to monopoly pricing has zero cost to the economy (Bertram 2004b). Hence, as the Commerce Commission has noted (Commerce Commission 2009 p.6 paragraph ii, in relation to electricity supply): "The exercise of market power to earn market power rents is not ... a contravention of the Commerce Act, but is a lawful, rational exploitation of the ability and incentives available to the generators". Similarly, in evaluating the "net public benefit" of mergers, so long as there is some "efficiency" gain the regulator does not ask whether acquirers of the good or service will be left worse off while the new monopoly's profits are increased. Wealth transfers within New Zealand are not an issue. Failure To Restrain Anticompetitive Conduct The narrow focus of New Zealand's Commerce Act 1986 is stated as follows in its "purpose" section(16): "The purpose of this Act is to promote competition in markets for the long-term benefit of consumers within New Zealand. The main regulatory agency under the Act - the Commerce Commission - is charged primarily with approval of mergers and with taking (or threatening to take) legal action against companies that are considered in breach of the Act's two main prohibitions: on collusion (sections 27 and 28) and on "taking advantage of market power" at the expense of competitors or would-be competitors (section 36). Prior to 1986, part 1 of the Commerce Act 1975 provided for an independent Examiner of Trade Practices to report to the Commerce Commission any apparent monopolistic or anticompetitive conduct in any market, and for the Commission to conduct its own inquiry and make its own orders prohibiting or penalising the conduct, subject to appeal. An extensive list of illegal practices familiar from antitrust textbooks was set out, in explicit detail, in section 23 of that Act. That explicit list was erased in the Commerce Act 1986 and replaced by a single generic sub-section 36(2). Until April 2022 this read as follows: A person that has a substantial degree of power in a market must not take advantage(17) of that power for the purpose of-
To many observers at the time the Act was passed it seemed that this would still make illegal the exercise of market power against competitors, but it quickly turned out not to be so. Only where the proven "purpose" of the dominant firm was to erect barriers to entry was it subject to any penalty. "Purpose" is subjective and not easily observable - and inferring purpose from actual conduct is not straightforward. The Act's requirement that "taking advantage of market power" had to be for an anti-competitive purpose, as distinct from merely a desire to compete vigorously as any firm is supposed to do, imposed a burden of proof that overwhelmed attempts by private parties and the Commerce Commission to rein in conduct that was transparently anticompetitive in its effects but could not be proven to flow from an anti-competitive purpose. The courts' approach was to use a "counterfactual test"(18) which asked: would a firm that did not have market power do the same things in a competitive market? As the Privy Council put it in Telecom Corporation of New Zealand Ltd v Clear Communications Ltd:(19) "it cannot be said that a person in a dominant market position 'uses' that position for the purposes of s36 if he acts in a way which a person not in a dominant position but otherwise in the same circumstances would have acted; ... a monopolist is entitled, like everyone else, to compete with its competitors: if it is not permitted to do so it would be holding an umbrella over inefficient competitors". This echoed a standard refrain in antitrust debates, that the goal is "protection of the process of competition, not of competitors". As Judge Learned Hand put it in 1945(20): "The successful competitor, having been urged to compete, must not be turned upon when he wins". In the hands of Chicago adherents this became the argument that any regulatory intervention that benefits any competitor or competitors at the expense of an incumbent firm is a distortion of the optimal market outcome (Hovenkamp 2019; Hovenkamp and Morton, 2020.) Whatever real-world firms were doing could, in Chicago terms, be characterised as just the normal process of competition at work. Might Is Right In The Market That, in turn, meant that virtually any conduct by a firm with power in a market could be defended. In 2019 a major law firm noted that "New Zealand is the only country with modern competition law that requires an anti-competitive purpose and does not consider the effects of the conduct" (MintnerEllisonRuddWatts, 2019). In 2015, the manifest inadequacy of section 36 was highlighted at a Commerce Commission conference (Gavil, 2015, p.1046): "Reliance on the counterfactual test ... will fail to condemn conduct that warrants prohibition, precisely because it fails to attribute any significance to the dominant firm's market power". Finally, in 2022 the New Zealand Parliament legislated to include an "effects test" in section 36(21). Official reluctance to sanction monopolistic conduct has meant that vertical integration between wholesale and retail levels of supposedly "competitive" industries has been allowed to develop without regard to the powerfully anti-competitive and price-gouging consequences. Building hardware provides an example. In 2022, with a housing construction boom underway, the country's main manufacturer of the plaster wallboard used to line New Zealand houses restricted supply to independent builders while allowing its own affiliated company to stockpile the material. With 95% of the market in the hands of the dominant firm, and building regulations carefully tailored (under systematic lobbying from the dominant firm) to prevent the use of competing products including imports, many independent builders were forced out of business and pressure mounted on the Government to intervene. This case was ongoing as of July 2022, but previous examples of similarly exclusionary conduct that avoided any sanctions were a 2013-14 Commerce Commission inquiry into plasterboard that cleared the dominant firm of any breach of section 36(22), and a 2004 court case in which the Commerce Commission suffered a particularly demoralising defeat over tied bundling(23). An independent producer of building insulation entered the market in competition with Carter Holt Harvey's existing product ("Thick Pink Batts"). In response CHH moved to withhold all its numerous lines of building hardware from any retailer that carried the competitor's product. The Privy Council found this to be permissible under the counterfactual test (Bertram 2006a). Merit Appeals The OECD's "constraints on the regulator's discretion" through appeals on merit to the courts was initially missing in the New Zealand legislation, but its introduction via a 2008 Commerce Act amendment - enthusiastically promoted by big business interests - has proved a powerful channel for industry capture, using the threat of dragging the regulator into expensive court cases that suck its litigation budget dry while establishing strongly pro-monopoly precedents. A dramatic illustration was a 2013 case(24) in which airports, gas pipeline companies and electricity generators challenged the Commerce Commission's first round of cost-based regulatory decisions, on grounds that traversed the entire miserable history of US Supreme Court litigation between Smith v Ames(25) in 1898 and Hope Natural Gas(26) in 1944.(27) The issue was the valuations attached to those companies' fixed assets, which had been massively revalued upwards during the preceding two decades of unregulated monopoly pricing. Having agreed, under remorseless industry and political pressure, to treat the resulting inflated asset values as deemed historic cost for regulatory purposes, the Commission found itself defending those valuations as a "line in the sand" against further upward revaluations. The court decision in favour of that line in the sand left the Commission thereafter fully committed to defence of the resulting network pricing, and reluctant to incur another round of legal warfare over asset valuations. Consequently, the Commission now routinely allows network operators to raise prices in advance of new investment (enabling network operators to avoid the discipline of the capital market) and to recover in full the sunk cost of stranded assets. Transparency Transparency in the New Zealand regulatory context takes the form of "information disclosure", which has been, on the whole, counter-productive - partly because of the difficulty of achieving any discipline on monopolists in command of asymmetric information, and, equally important, because the anti-regulatory ideological colour of Governments throughout the 1980s, 1990s and 2000s meant that the disclosed information was not processed and disseminated in a way that might have made it accessible to the citizenry at large, so that the procedure was quickly discredited as a regulatory constraint on monopolists' behaviour (Bertram 1999, 2014; Bertram and Twaddle 2005). (It has, however, proved effective as a coordination device for emerging cartels in the utility sectors). At first, in the almost completely deregulated 1990s and early 2000s, the detailed information disclosure requirements on electricity and gas companies revealed ample evidence of price-gouging and anticompetitive conduct, but this evidence was disregarded or discounted by officials and ministers. Then, as disclosure requirements became increasingly labyrinthine (with enthusiastic industry encouragement) and the disclosed material ceased (after 2008) to be published in the New Zealand Gazette, it became impenetrable to all except the most committed analysts, virtually all of whom are employed by, or contracted to, the big industry players. Conclusion In 1993, commenting on the unfolding neoliberal policy regime in New Zealand, I suggested that (Bertram 1993 p.49) "the growing conviction among key officials involved in economic management that the new classical models were correct, and that policy interventions would be ineffective, contributed to a decline in the competence of the State to undertake such interventions. The actual effects of any policy package, thus, depend upon the quality and attitudes of the policy agency as much as on the concrete measures contained in the package itself". The fact that New Zealand's default position is non-regulation unless a politician determines otherwise has produced a strongly gun-shy mindset both in regulatory agencies and in the judiciary, echoing the persistent neoliberal culture within key departments of Government. Regulation of monopoly profit-taking has become the subject of a "chicken game" between politicians and big business, with regulators on the sideline. Effective regulation of conduct in a market economy does not easily reduce to any single critical requirement. Rather, it flows from a constellation of mutually-supporting elements: appropriate legislation, clear codified criteria to measure compliance; smoothly-operating regulatory institutions with clear legitimacy, expert staff, and an enforcement mandate; and over all a political culture of recognition and respect for regulators. The breakdown of a pre-existing regulatory constellation lets loose familiar pathologies: abuse of monopoly power to price-gouge consumers and eliminate competitors; unbridled pursuit of self-interest degrading the quality of services and products; reduced health, safety and wages in workplaces; and unchecked environmental degradation. Mazzucato (2021 pp.21 and 26) identifies a parallel problem in the UK: "We live in an era in which ... a flawed ideology about the role of Government has infiltrated our expectations of what it can do ... problematic theories about Government lead to problematic practices that... get in the way of a mission-oriented approach". The neoliberal revolution of the 1980s and 90s had a particularly strong deregulatory impact in New Zealand, sweeping away established regulatory institutions and practices while converting national policy to a culture of non-regulation. Reconstruction of regulatory institutions and culture has been piecemeal, and has faced entrenched opposition from powerful vested interests consolidated during the unregulated decades. In Bertram (2021 p.35) I have expanded on this point: "With deregulation and a limited role of Government written into (New Zealand) statutes and embodied in regulatory practice, the (rent-seeking and regulatory capture) pathologies identified and described by Buchanan, Tullock, Stigler and their collaborators became more, rather than less, prevalent in the New Zealand regulatory landscape". "Privatisation opened the way for looting; the Commerce Act and new regulatory guidelines enabled rather than blocked anticompetitive practices and monopolistic rent taking; relaxed oversight meant that foreign direct investment became more extractive and less productive. From relatively inclusive politics and strong regulatory enforcement, New Zealand shifted towards more extractive institutions and weaker regulation". "As a result, market power is exercised by the current business and financial elite in ways that have worsened wealth and income distributions, imposed deadweight burdens (both static and dynamic) on the economy, and now confront policymakers with roadblocks to achieving more inclusive institutions and pursuing a 'wellbeing' agenda". Just as the original top-down imposition of a neoliberal regime was done without any clear mandate from the wider public, so the defence of deregulation continues to be undertaken by the Government and the high-level business lobbying organisations, while public opinion and the press have become increasingly impatient with regulatory inaction. The tide of public opinion may be flowing in favour of stronger antitrust action, but there is not yet any political party willing to seek a mandate accordingly. Until there is a shift at the top of the political system, full recovery of regulatory governance remains only "pending". Nevertheless, there have recently been tentative steps towards more regulatory restraint on the exercise of market power. These include the 2018 reintroduction of Commerce Commission "competition studies", the 2022 inclusion of an effects test in section 36 of the Commerce Act, and the politically-explosive evidence of excessive margins and abuse of market power in the context of a sharp increase in inflationary pressure on household budgets during 2022. References Endnotes:
Non-Members:
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